Searched: "outcome bias"
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Recently there have been a number of high profile incidents in diving in which the decisions made appear incredulous given the outcome. Using a phrase from Todd Conklin, a US-based high performance team developer and safety advocate, the outcomes whilst sad in many cases are not the most interest...
You may be wondering what the vandalism of a piece of art has to do with diving safety and improved personal/team performance, but read on. One of the best ways of getting a point across is by telling a story鈥nd so this story begins. "An elderly German woman was questioned by police a...
This is a summary of my presentation at TekDiveUSA as recordings weren't allowed. The interactive presentation was just short of an hour so this is a bit of a long post!! The simple premise is that we don鈥檛 know what we don鈥檛 know. Even worse, we don鈥檛 know that we don鈥檛 know!! This double hit i...
Research conducted in 1989 by Deborah J. Mitchell, of the Wharton School; Jay Russo, of Cornell; and Nancy Pennington, of the University of Colorado, found that prospective hindsight鈥攊magining that an event has already occurred鈥攊ncreases the ability to correctly identify reasons for future outc...
I have just finished reading a chapter in Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking. Fast and Slow." about decision-making, risk perception and gambling which I thought had some interesting parallels in the world of sport diving, especially given some recent fatalities where comments have been made about crass...
