Searched: "outcome bias"
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This is a list of articles published in magzines, journals or conference proceedings...the link may take you off the Human Factors Academy website. The Diver Medic Issue #9 (Nov 16), page 38 - Today is a good day to die. An article highlighting that we need to understand local rationality if ...
"The divers were instructed by the DM to swim away from shore and then they were taken away down current and then spent the next 7 hours fighting for their survival in Xm high waves before being picked up some nine miles away..." "How stupid could they be? It is obvious that they shoul...
This might be surprising for many, but safety is not the priority which organisations and individuals have to consider when diving. Both organisations and individuals have to balance a number of other priorities including time, money, reward, resource, productivity, results, fear of litigat...
This blog was originally submitted as an article for the NAUI ICUE Journal following my presentation at the Long Beach show in 2017. The aim of this manuscript is to enable the reader to recognise that often when we read accident and incident reports the cause of outcome is reported as ‘human er...
In 2012, two divers entered the water for a check-out and set-up dive in 115ft (35m) of water dive on their rebreathers. 27 mins later, one of them was on the surface having been rescued by their inexperienced closed circuit rebreather (CCR) buddy having suffered an oxygen toxicity seizure. The v...
Introduction Humans are subject to a variety of cognitive biases and heuristics (mental shortcuts). These directly impact the decision-making process of the diver, sometimes resulting in incorrect judgments when certain circumstances dictate. In most settings this can be relatively harmless, how...
It is easy to ascribe ‘human error’ to diving incidents because we often lack details about what happened. It is also perversely satisfying to blame someone, an individual, rather than attribute it to a system issue. Part of this is because we can then start internalising this, distancing ourselv...
One of the most powerful psychological effects is the feeling of social conformance. As humans we are wired to be part of a group, we want to be associated with others who are similar in fashion, outlook, activity, training or just enjoying the same sport. Diving, in the main, is a social activit...
It might be an obvious statement that we are biased, but it isn't just about the obvious things like which food, music, cars or political party we like, but more importantly how we make decisions in the complex and dynamic environment we live in. When accidents or incidents occur, there are norma...
The US Forest Service (USFS) operates in a highly dynamic and high-risk environment. Changes can happen which can have catastrophic circumstances if they are not picked up. Unfortunately, sometimes things do go wrong and firefighters die or large amounts of property is lost. However, the USFS rec...
